Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.257117 0.276637 0.297348 0.321034 0.347458 0.376134 0.409742
2025-12-07 0.222466 0.250113 0.281353 0.319580 0.365527 0.419539 0.488685
2025-12-14 0.200896 0.232635 0.270072 0.318122 0.379110 0.455291 0.559904
2025-12-21 0.182708 0.216179 0.256928 0.311149 0.382935 0.477059 0.614028
2025-12-28 0.174287 0.210362 0.255598 0.317892 0.403826 0.522091 0.704807
2026-01-04 0.166204 0.203995 0.252585 0.321514 0.420107 0.561866 0.793456
2026-01-11 0.158134 0.196855 0.247716 0.321738 0.431044 0.594519 0.875756
2026-01-18 0.149115 0.187744 0.239364 0.316078 0.432393 0.612236 0.935825
2026-01-25 0.140123 0.178070 0.229502 0.307282 0.427873 0.619725 0.978774
2026-02-01 0.133093 0.170663 0.222290 0.301710 0.427597 0.633712 1.035385
2026-02-08 0.126370 0.163307 0.214675 0.294890 0.424554 0.642410 1.083030
2026-02-15 0.120907 0.157442 0.208853 0.290335 0.424659 0.656341 1.143307
2026-02-22 0.118077 0.155320 0.208555 0.294633 0.440380 0.701065 1.279758
2026-03-01 0.113962 0.151155 0.205011 0.293553 0.446894 0.729844 1.388953
2026-03-08 0.110128 0.147202 0.201538 0.292281 0.452853 0.758232 1.504467
2026-03-15 0.105392 0.141688 0.195368 0.286090 0.449283 0.767001 1.573423
2026-03-22 0.103891 0.140920 0.196460 0.292080 0.468608 0.825430 1.789490
2026-03-29 0.101851 0.139226 0.195979 0.295294 0.482940 0.875400 1.999760
2026-04-05 0.099287 0.136610 0.193875 0.295493 0.491365 0.913473 2.188523
2026-04-12 0.095789 0.132410 0.189014 0.290469 0.488872 0.925921 2.299665
2026-04-19 0.091924 0.127503 0.182800 0.282653 0.480050 0.922167 2.355125
2026-04-26 0.088845 0.123729 0.178295 0.277695 0.476741 0.931505 2.461597
2026-05-03 0.085712 0.119769 0.173329 0.271623 0.470613 0.933065 2.540643